Abstract

Based on daily discharge and water level data from Shashi and Luoshan stations, Landsat remote sensing images, fixed cross-section topography, and bank collapse records in typical reach of the middle Yangtze River, this study integrates Mann–Kendall trend analysis, water body index extraction, cross-sectional analysis, and other methods to investigate the evolution characteristics and driving relationships of discharge–water level variation, shoal-bar erosion and deposition, cross-sectional adjustment, and bank collapse. The results indicate that: (1) Runoff exhibits a pattern of “increased low-flow period, and stable flood-season flow,” while water levels show a significant annual decline, reflecting the dominant control of channel incision on water level changes. (2) Between 1987 and 2017, pre- and post- Three Gorge reservoir operation, the shoals shifted from substantial rightward migration to localized erosion, with dramatic cross-sectional adjustments (e.g., the thalweg of cross-section Jing-178 dropped by 10.9 m, and the right bank of Jing-182 retreated by 1200 m). (3) From 2003 to 2024,the cross-sectional areas of the low-water channel and bankfull channel increased by 2,600 m² and 4,050 m², respectively, indicating pronounced erosion expansion. (4) Bank collapses were concentrated at the right bank of Jing181 (16 events) and the left bank of Li8 (10 events), displaying stage-specific activity. (5) Bank collapse length is highly positively correlated with cumulative erosion and deposition volume of the low-water channel (R² = 0.84), indicating that lateral erosion of the low-flow channel is a key factor in bank slope instability. These findings provide a scientific basis for channel evolution understanding and bank collapse prevention.